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Good news: Alberta's projected fiscal deficit for 2011-12 has been trimmed, according to recent government estimates.

Nov 21, 2011  

by Max Fawcett

By Max Fawcett, Managing Editor

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In Europe it’s been one sovereign debt crisis after another, and it now appears possible – if not probable – that France may be the next country in the crosshairs. In the United States, meanwhile, the so-called “Supercommittee” managed to meet everyone’s lowered expectations by announcing that it was unable to strike a debt-reduction deal.

Here in Alberta, though, the beat just keeps going on. In its second-quarter update on the budget – and the first under new Premier Alison Redford – the province announced that it forecasts a $3.1 billion deficit for the 2011-12 fiscal year, a $341 million improvement over the estimates in its budget documents.

The reason, not surprisingly, is strengthening global oil prices. The province now expects revenues from nonrenewable resources to exceed $10 billion, a 22 per cent improvement over its budget estimate of $8.32 billion. Whether those numbers will hold up under the pressure of the various debt crises being played out across the western world remains to be seen.

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